Overview
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they''re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
''Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
''He leaps like some superhero of the mind'' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
- | Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- | Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
- | Publication Date: Feb 28, 2008
- | Number of Pages:
- | Language:
- | Binding: Paperback / softback
- | ISBN-13: 9780141034591
- | ISBN-10: 0141034599
